TREC #9010504
August 12, 2024
By Tricia Madrid
Recent updates from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) and other sources provide insights into the current state of mortgage rates and their potential impact on the real estate market:
Current Mortgage Rate Trends: As of August 8, 2024, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate from Freddie Mac has decreased to 6.47%, down from 6.73% the previous week. This represents the largest one-week drop in mortgage rates in nine months, reaching the lowest level since May 2023.This decline in rates has led to an increase in mortgage applications, indicating renewed interest among home buyers who had been waiting for rates to fall.
Future Projections: Economists, including Lawrence Yun from the NAR, predict that mortgage rates will continue to decrease in 2024. The average rate is expected to drop to 6.3% by the fourth quarter of 2024, down from 7.8% at the end of 2023.This anticipated decline is expected to stimulate the housing market, potentially increasing home sales by 14% this year, marking the largest annual gain in over four decades.
Market Dynamics: The decrease in mortgage rates is expected to unlock pent-up demand among sellers, leading to a 30% increase in the inventory of properties for sale compared to 2023's all-time low. This could encourage more transactions in the housing market, as both buyers and sellers are motivated by the improved affordability and increased availability of homes.
Overall, the recent drop in mortgage rates and the forecasted trends suggest a positive outlook for the housing market, with increased activity anticipated as rates continue to decline.
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